When Will Covid-19 End

SUTD Data-Driven Innovation Lab

When Will COVID-19 End
Data-Driven Estimation of End Dates (As of April 24, 2020)

SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model is regressed based on the data from different countries to predict the key dates of transition during the epidemic lifecycle in different countries. The prediction is updated with newer data. Codes from Milan Batista. Data from Our World in Data

Singapore
End around May 13

Saudi Arabia
Turn near May 1, End around June 1

United States
End around May 9

Italy
End around May 4

Qatar
End around July 8

Nigeria
Turn near May 24, End around June 19

Russia
End around May 21

Iran
End around May 10

United Kingdom
End around May 13

Spain
End around May 1

France
End around May 3

Germany
End around April 30

Japan
End around May 9

Canada
End around May 16

Turkey
End date around May 15

United Arab Emirates
End around May 15

Sudan
End on May 4

Egypt
End around May 20

Jordan
End around April 19

India
End around May 20

Philipines
End around May 7

Indonesia
End around June 3

Malaysia
End around May 5

Pakistan
End around June 3

Bahrain
End around June 3

Lebanon
End around April 22

Australia
Ended around April 13

Kuwait
End around May 29

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: