Euzebiusz Jamrozik, Michael J Selgelid
COVID-19 poses an extraordinary threat to global public health and an e ective vaccine could provide a key means of overcoming this crisis. Human challenge studies involve the intentional infection of research participants and can accelerate or improve vaccine development by rapidly providing estimates of vaccine safety and e cacy. Human challenge studies of low virulence coronaviruses have been done in the past and human challenge studies with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 have been proposed. These studies of coronaviruses could provide considerable bene ts to public health; for instance, by improving and accelerating vaccine development. However, human challenge studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in particular might be controversial, in part, for ethical reasons. The ethical issues raised by such studies thus warrant early consideration involving, for example, broad consultation with the community. This Personal View provides preliminary analyses of relevant ethical considerations regarding human challenge studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, including the potential bene ts to public health and to participants, the risks and uncertainty for participants, and the third-party risks (ie, to research sta and the wider community). We argue that these human challenge studies can reasonably be considered ethically acceptable insofar as such studies are accepted internationally and by the communities in which they are done, can realistically be expected to accelerate or improve vaccine development, have considerable potential to directly bene t participants, are designed to limit and minimise risks to participants, and are done with strict infection control measures to limit and reduce third-party risks.
Lancet Infect Dis 2020
May 29, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1473-3099(20)30438-2
Monash Bioethics Centre and WHO Collaborating Centre for Bioethics, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
(E Jamrozik FRACP,
Prof M J Selgelid PhD); and Department of Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (E Jamrozik)
Dr Euzebiusz Jamrozik, Monash Bioethics Centre, Monash University, Melbourne,
VIC 3800, Australia firstname.lastname@example.org
￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼ ￼
Coronaviruses are ubiquitous causes of respiratory infection in humans, and those causing symptoms of the common cold arguably constitute longstanding pandemics of low severity. Recent outbreaks of higher virulence coronaviruses (eg, those associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome [SARS], Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome [MERS], and COVID-19) have resulted in high numbers of deaths and disease, the institution of drastic public health measures, and more research on coronavirus vaccines. As of April 8, 2020, there are more than 100 vaccine candidates for COVID-19.1,2
Humanchallengestudiesinvolvetheintentionalinfec- tion of research participants and can provide a powerful scienti c method for the testing of vaccines and thera- peutics and for studying host–pathogen interactions in small numbers of participants (ie, around 25–100 people). Such studies have been done with many pathogens, including low virulence coronavirus strains3–5 and pan- demic in uenza virus H1N1.6 Challenge studies generally have a good safety record; however, there have been rare cases of serious harms, such as myocarditis among in uenza challenge study participants.7 More virulent coronaviruses have not been investigated in human challenge studies, presumably in part because of a perception that these studies would pose unacceptably high risks to participants. Questions related to whether there are upper limits to research risks and what such limits might be or how they should be determined are unresolved.7–9 The prospect of exceptionally great bene ts (eg, in responding to a pandemic) in some cases justifying the higher risks has been suggested.9 Human challenge studies with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), with the appropriate stra- tegies to minimise risk, might entail risks to participants below the commonly cited upper limits to risk.9,10
Animal challenge studies have been used to test coronavirus vaccines, but, to date, the generalisability of such studies to humans is poor.11,12 Meanwhile, phase 1 research in humans of COVID-19 vaccines has been fast- tracked, including early testing of vaccines in humans without previous safety data in animals (NCT04283461).
Human challenge studies can result in considerable public health bene ts by providing important scienti c data regarding host–pathogen interactions (eg, correlates of protection) and the transmissibility of pathogens and by accelerating and improving vaccine development.7,13 Human challenge studies can expedite vaccine develop- ment because these studies are often substantially smaller, shorter, and less expensive than other kinds of studies and thus enable the e cient selection of vaccine candidates for further investigation in larger studies (eg, eld trials) or for monitored emergency use (with the ongoing collection of safety and e cacy data).13,14
Well designed human challenge studies have the potential to improve the e ciency of vaccine development, and thereby bene t public health sooner than would otherwise be possible (both during an epidemic and in interepidemic periods), and reduce the number of participants exposed to risk in the estimation of vaccine safety and e cacy. Thus, there is a compelling ethical rationale for doing such studies, at least in some cases.15–17
Nonetheless, human challenge studies are ethically sensitive and raise several controversial and unresolved issues in research ethics because some study designs can be perceived to involve high levels of risk for healthy volunteers, risks to third parties (eg, when the pathogen used to infect participants might spread to others), and high levels of uncertainty regarding the consequences of infection (especially with novel or neglected pathogens).7,8,18–20 Furthermore, research during epidemics and pandemics can sometimes be controversial because of lower levels of
community trust in research during such crises.21 Thus, human challenge studies should be done to particularly high scienti c and ethical standards to protect participants and preserve public trust in research and vaccines.
This Personal View explores the ethical considerations relevant to coronavirus human challenge studies with a focus on the current COVID-19 pandemic. Early ethical analysis of COVID-19 human challenge studies is important because of the aforementioned complexities. In the 2015–16 Zika virus epidemic, the proposed human challenge studies were forestalled largely because of the conclusions of an ethics consultation that highlighted concerns regarding risk and uncertainty.19,22 At the time, critics claimed that the ethics consultation had unnecessarily “slammed the door on progress”23 because, according to Zika virus researchers, relevant risks could be adequately controlled and the potential public health bene ts of human challenge studies with Zika virus could be considerable.22 The apparent feasibility of eld trials during the Zika virus epidemic was also considered a reason not to do human challenge studies with Zika virus;19 however, the rapid resolution of the epidemic meant that eld trials were unfeasible by the time vaccine candidates were ready for testing. It was argued by Shah and colleagues19 that human challenge studies would be more ethically acceptable during interepidemic periods (when eld trials would be unfeasible).24 However, human challenge studies approved by ethics committees are increasingly being done in the context of high background transmission (ie, in endemic areas). The fact that pros- pective participants face background risks of infection might be salient to the ethical acceptability of the risks of human challenge studies (including during a pandemic).7 Prospective consideration of COVID-19 human challenge studies might thus be crucial to ensure appropriate ethical analysis, policy making, and, possibly, study design during current and future pandemics.25
COVID-19 compared with other relevant diseases
Infection with SARS-CoV-2 is associated with con-sequences ranging from asymptomatic infection, to mild disease, to severe respiratory failure, and death.5,26 SARS-CoV-2 emerged as a human pathogen in late 2019 and has since resulted in the COVID-19 pandemic.1,26 Early reports from China estimated the overall COVID-19 case fatality risk to be 2·3%, with higher risks in older individuals (eg, 14·8% in those aged >80 years) and in those with comorbidities; the case fatality risk in health-care workers in China was 0·3%.27 Estimates of the infection fatality risk (adjusted for asymptomatic cases) correlate with age, ranging from 0·007%–0·031% for people aged 20–29 years to 7·8%–10·1% for people aged 80 years and older.28,29
By comparison, SARS and MERS are associated with much higher overall population case fatality risks: approximately 10% for SARS30 and 37% for MERS.31 As a further (non-coronavirus) comparator, the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in uenza virus was associated with a case
fatality risk of up to 0·1% in adults aged 20–64 years (and the infection fatality risk was probably substantially lower);32 yet, early data in 2009 reported a case fatality risk for the overall population to be as high as 7%.33
Coronavirus human challenge studies
Human challenge studies involving coronavirus strains causing mild illness were done at the UK’s Common Cold Unit from the 1960s to the 1990s.5 Such studies were done safely, involved inpatient stays of up to 3 weeks,3 and sometimes involved the testing of therapeutic inter- ventions.4 Coronavirus human challenge studies were reinitiated in early 2020 with mild strains,34 and human challenge studies with highly virulent strains, including SARS-CoV-2, were proposed on March 31, 2020, by Eyal and colleagues,35 and subsequently by others.36,37
Some might doubt whether viruses that are perceived to be associated with high risks of severe disease, such as SARS-CoV-2, are appropriate candidates for human challenge studies. However, such studies might arguably be ethically acceptable when there is a large public health threat associated with a particular pathogen (especially a pathogen for which no e ective treatment or vaccine exists), relevant research risks can be adequately con- trolled or are similar to the background risk of infection in the community, and human challenge studies would accelerate vaccine development (relative to alternative study designs) or provide other considerable public health bene ts. Because such studies warrant careful ethical scrutiny, analyses of ethical and scienti c issues should inform policy development and possible study design.
Public engagement can help to assess the local acceptability of human challenge studies, maximise transparency by responding to any community concerns, and elucidate the potential e ect of research on the community.38–40 Engagement should therefore begin very early in the planning and design of COVID-19 human challenge studies, be done e ciently in light of the rapidly evolving pandemic, and continue during and after the research. Such activities should include dialogue between scientists, ethicists, prospective participants, and community re- presentatives. Beyond these groups, international con- sultation (eg, with scienti c bodies and policy making agencies) is also important.7,18
Public health bene ts
The ethical acceptability of COVID-19 human challenge studies would be in part contingent on there being potential bene ts (for public health or for participants) that outweigh the expected risks. Important potential bene ts to public health include those arising from the acceleration of vaccine development, the development of more e ective vaccines, and the improvement of relevant
scienti c knowledge that can inform public health practice (eg, results regarding correlates of protection or the risks of transmission from asymptomatic individuals). Arguably, the bene t–risk pro le of a particular study should also be considered by regarding its place in an overarching research programme,41 compare favourably with alternative research designs, and be evaluated in terms of the generalisability of the ndings (eg, estimates of vaccine e cacy) to relevant populations.7,16
The use of human challenge studies in the development of vaccines for SARS-CoV-2 is likely to have several bene ts, including the opportunity to directly compare the e cacy of multiple vaccine candidates when doing multiple eld trials might be less e cient or unfeasible. The bene ts are likely to be higher when estimates of vaccine e cacy derived from such studies are generalisable to relevant populations and there is a clear pathway from human challenge studies to further testing and the timely regulatory approval, manufacture, and distribution of a novel vaccine. Furthermore, in interepidemic or interpandemic periods when eld trials are unfeasible, human challenge studies might be the only way to test vaccine e cacy.
There can often be tensions between the scienti c and public health aim to maximise generalisability and the need to protect participants, meaning that an appropriate balance must be sought between competing ethical considerations.
For example, the use of low-risk (eg, attenuated) challenge strains would reduce the risk to participants. This strategy, however, might require extended time for strain development and con ict with the need to select strains that are adequately similar to pandemic strains so as to produce results (eg, regarding vaccine e cacy) that are more relevant to public health priorities.16
Selecting participants at low risk of severe disease (eg, healthy young adults) would reduce the risk to participants. Nonetheless, such a strategy is also suboptimal because the results yielded might not enable con dent estimates of vaccine e cacy in individuals at higher risk of disease (eg, older people [>60 years] and those with comorbidities). However, if a vaccine for COVID-19 is subsequently approved for use, this strategy might at least enable the e ective vaccination of individuals at lower risk to indirectly protect those at higher risk.42 In any case, given the virulence of SARS-CoV-2 in older individuals and in those with comorbidities, the risks of human challenge studies would be more acceptable if such studies enrolled healthy young adults (eg, those aged 18–30 years), at least initially.
Potential direct bene ts to participants
Although human challenge studies are often characterised as non-therapeutic research in which healthy volunteers do not directly bene t from study participation, there can sometimes be direct bene ts to study participants. Although, payment of participants might be ethically
appropriate, payment is generally not considered a bene t that would o set risks.7 However, potential direct bene ts of being infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the course of human challenge studies would include participants being exposed to less infection-related risk than if they are infected in the community (eg, because of early diagnosis and medical care) and gaining immunity to future infec- tion in the context of a high background risk (although more data are needed to clarify the degree and duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2).16 Participants might also bene t if they receive an experimental vaccine that turns out to be e ective.
Participants’ immunity, whether the immunity results from challenge infection or an experimental vaccine, might also bene t third parties, especially if health-care workers are recruited to participate in the studies, because this immunity might prevent health-care workers from becoming infected and subsequently infecting others.
Risks to participants
Participants in coronavirus human challenge studies might face risks associated with the challenge infection and, in some cases, the experimental vaccine (or other intervention). Such risks should be minimised—eg, via the restriction of participation in initial studies to healthy young adults and the provision of high-quality medical care, including intensive care, if required.
Although many young adults infected with SARS-CoV-2 are asymptomatic, some infections cause more severe disease. For individuals aged 20–29 years, the estimated risk of admission to hospital for treatment is 0·6%–1·0% and the infection fatality risk is 0·007%–0·031%.28,29 More data are needed for more accurate estimates; however, these values include young adults with comorbidities who would be excluded from human challenge studies. There might nevertheless be rare severe outcomes (eg, potentially fatal respiratory failure requiring ventilation) or lasting harms (eg, long-term respiratory de cits) among participants in human challenge studies.7,43 Although these risks might be higher than those associated with many modern human challenge studies, such risks might be considered acceptable if COVID-19 human challenge studies have considerable expected bene ts, the risks in questiondonotentailamajornetincreaseinrisk(inlight of background risks of infection), and there is long-term follow-up of participants and full compensation for any research-related harms. SARS-CoV-2 challenge studies might thus be ethically acceptable (especially when participants already face a high background probability of infection), even in the absence of speci c or curative treatment. The use of attenuated strains that could provide data equally as useful as the data provided by wild-type strains and the use of proven speci c treatments (if developed) could further reduce risks to participants, but developing such strains or treatments could take a long time and thus detract from the acceleration of vaccine development that is enabled by challenge studies.
Another important consideration for human challenge studies is the background risk of infection faced by potential participants. Individuals who are highly likely to be naturally infected with a pathogen during an epidemic (eg, in some cases, health-care workers) might face a smaller increase in risk related to participation in human challenge studies than the general population. The existence of background risks has been judged to be one consideration in favour of the ethical acceptability of early yellow fever challenge studies,10 proposed Zika virus challenge studies,19 and human challenge studies in endemic settings more generally.7
However, the contribution of background risk to assessments of research risk is controversial.7 One reason for concern is that background risks of infection are sometimes due to injustice (eg, when a higher probability of infection is caused by poverty or policy failures, such as those that leave health-care workers with inadequate personal protective equipment). A second reason for concern is that where background risks are high, although the marginal risk of participation in human challenge studies might be low, the absolute risk of infection might be high nonetheless. For instance, because yellow fever is associated with a case fatality risk of 15–50% (ie, much higher than COVID-19),44 the early yellow fever challenge studies, which were done in an endemic area (with a high background risk),10 had a high absolute risk of infection. Early yellow fever studies are still widely regarded as being ethically acceptable, not only because of the high background risk of infection, but also because the results led to public health bene ts and the volunteers provided proper informed consent.9,10,45 Subsequent yellow fever studies were, however, disbanded after three deaths among study participants.10
Risk minimisation is thus important for human challenge studies, even in the context of high background risk. With appropriate risk minimisation (eg, careful titration of viral dose, early diagnosis, and optimal medical care if required), some healthy participants in human challenge studies might face little (if any) additional risk related to experimental infection. However, because COVID-19 has placed a strain on health-care systems, challenge studies (and other research) might be unfeasible or inappropriate during an epidemic, in part because scarce resources need to be prioritised for clinical care. Therefore, for such studies to be approved, decisions about the optimal timing and location of human challenge studies would be crucial.
It is conceivable that researchers might volunteer for COVID-19 human challenge studies during the current pandemic alongside other volunteers. This occurrence raises questions regarding the degree to which self- experimentation increases the permissibility of high-risk human challenge studies. The Nuremberg Code posits
that high-risk studies might be more acceptable when researchers themselves serve as volunteers. However, this suggestion, which was appealed to in vindication of early yellow fever studies,9 might be controversial, in part because clinical and research sta might feel pressure to participate.7 Whether the willingness of researchers to undergo the risks of challenge infection would justify exposing other research participants to higher risks is also unclear.25 In any case, so long as all participants provide adequate informed consent and other research ethics criteria are met, high-risk human challenge studies might be justi ed whether or not they include self-experimenting researchers.
Uncertainty for participants
In addition to risks, infection with novel or neglected diseases might be associated with high levels of un- certainty. Unexpected adverse events might occur and participants should be warned that risk estimates might not include such outcomes and be fully compensated for any harms. Importantly, levels of uncertainty regarding so- called familiar pathogens are often higher than they seem and might increase the scienti c bene ts of human challenge studies because such studies might reveal important new ndings that can help to reduce risk to future participants in larger studies or improve clinical and public health practice.7
Risks related to experimental vaccines
Although vaccines are usually associated with very low risks, experimental vaccines might not protect participants and, in some cases, might even increase the severity of disease among those who are subsequently infected. These outcomes have occurred, for example, for vaccines against respiratory syncytial virus46 and dengue virus,47 in some cases resulting in small numbers of deaths among participants in vaccine research. This kind of danger might apply to coronavirus vaccines, because vaccine-enhanced disease has been observed in animal challenge studies with coronaviruses.12
Vaccine-enhanced disease could result in high risks to participants in both human challenge studies and vaccine eld trials. Challenge studies are arguably a superior way of evaluating the risk of vaccine-enhanced disease compared with eld trials because smaller numbers of participants are vaccinated and challenged at a time and participants receive closer monitoring and more immediate medical care than would be available in a eld trial. However, if vaccine-enhanced disease is rare, human challenge studies enrolling small numbers of participants might not reveal it.
Risks to third parties
The potential for third-party risks should be a key consideration in the ethical evaluation of human challenge studies.7,18 If high-risk strains are used, there would be strong ethical justi cation for strict infection
control measures, including stringent use of protective equipment by research sta and isolation of participants while contagious; public health law might require such measures, even if participants choose to exercise the right to withdraw from research. Low-risk strains might sometimes warrant strict infection control because of the potential for mutation (resulting in higher risks) and because some local communities might not accept even low third-party risks.
Alternative trial designs
In the current pandemic, one might think that doing vaccine eld trials without human challenge studies would be preferable because eld trials are particularly feasible where incidence is high, the feasibility of eld trials could be increased by innovative designs (eg, ring vaccination), human challenge studies might need to be followed by eld trials in any case (whether or not regulators are willing to approve a vaccine for monitored emergency use on the basis of human challenge studies alone), and considerable time might be required to develop challenge strains and establish human challenge studies.
Such proposals are worth considering but face several practical and ethical di culties. First, if more than one or two SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidates become ready for e cacy trials, then multiple (parallel or sequential) eld trials would plausibly require tens of thousands of participants and take many months or years to complete. Second, in such cases, human challenge studies would be by far the most feasible way of providing comparative e cacy estimates, which would help to identify more e cacious vaccines.48 Third, vaccine-enhanced disease would be problematic in small numbers of volunteers in human challenge studies, but might cause even greater harm and controversy in large eld trials.47 Fourth, public health policies in many jurisdictions might suppress transmission to the point where eld trials are unfeasible. Finally, site selection for eld trials raises justice concerns. The burdens of eld trials done during COVID-19 epidemics would be concentrated where public health policies are weakest and disease incidence highest. Furthermore, the largest bene ts of mass vaccination (after a vaccine is shown to be e cacious in a clinical trial) would primarily accrue to populations other than those in which eld trials occur because large numbers of individuals in these populations would have been infected during the peak of the epidemic (ie, at the time of the eld trial). Ultimately, ethical assessments of the potential bene ts and risks of human challenge studies compared with alternative trial designs by local and international decision makers should be made in light of the best available empirical data and models of the expected harms and bene ts of di erent proposed research programmes.
COVID-19 poses an extraordinary global health threat for which vaccines are urgently needed. Among other
bene ts, COVID-19 human challenge studies could accelerate vaccine development, helping to test multiple candidate vaccines. More ethically acceptable study designs would involve young healthy participants in inpatient settings with immediate access to high-quality health care and strict infection control measures. All risks should be minimised to the extent that risk minimisation would not unduly compromise potential research bene ts. Consultation with scienti c experts, prospective participants, and the wider community will help to determine the extent to which residual risks are acceptable and outweighed by the expected bene ts.
EJ wrote the rst draft of the manuscript. MJS and EJ conceived the study, edited the manuscript, and approved the nal version for publication.
Declaration of interests
EJ and MJS report grants from the Wellcome Trust.
Our ethical analyses in this paper were informed by a project supported by the Wellcome Trust (210551/Z/18/Z). The funder of the study had no role in the writing of the manuscript or the decision to submit for publication.
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